Why Now’s the Time To Bet Yordan Alvarez for AL MVP

Yordan Alvarez might be flying under the radar to start the 2025 MLB season, but savvy bettors know this is the perfect moment to pounce on his longshot AL MVP odds. At FanDuel, the Houston Astros slugger is currently listed at +6500 to win the award, with BetMGM offering +3000—both huge values when you consider where his odds opened (between +1200 and +1600 at most books).

Alvarez has already proven he’s capable of finishing near the top of the MVP race, placing 3rd, 13th, and 9th in voting over the last three seasons. His career numbers speak for themselves: a .297/.389/.577 slash line that puts him among the most feared hitters in baseball. While he’s off to a slower start than usual this year, his underlying hitting metrics suggest positive regression is on the way. His barrel and hard-hit rates are only slightly below his career averages, indicating that his elite swing profile hasn’t changed.

With Alex Bregman now out of the picture, Alvarez is the undisputed focal point of Houston’s offense. That clarity in role and increased spotlight could help shape a compelling MVP narrative—especially if the Astros surge in the standings. These current odds won’t last long, and if Alvarez heats up, expect a massive shift in the market.

Dan Karpuc

Dan Karpuc is the Founder of Sleeper Central and a seasoned sports betting expert. Previously, he served as the Director of Digital Content at BetQL (acquired by Audacy) and has contributed to top sports media outlets, including GiveMeSport, 12Up, TradeSports, HuffPost, Bleacher Report, and ESPN. With millions of words published across the industry, Dan is a leading voice in sports betting analysis and strategy. His passion for longshot player prop bets fueled the creation of Sleeper Central, where he continues to provide sharp insights and innovative betting content.